Forecasting

Predictive demand, revenue, and staffing projections based on historical booking patterns, seasonality, and weather conditions

Projected Revenue (Q4)

$357k

+18.3% YoY

Projected Bookings (Q4)

804

Next 6 months

Forecast Confidence

84%

Avg across models

Staffing Gap (Q4)

7 guides

Shortfall projected

Revenue at Weather Risk

$54k

Mitigatable with flex ops

Booking Demand Forecast — Historical vs Projected

Based on 24-month historical patterns + seasonality index

Seasonality Factors

Holiday Season (Dec–Jan)+38%

Peak tourist influx from North America & Europe

Dry Season (Dec–Apr)+24%

Optimal weather drives outdoor activity demand

School Holidays (Jun–Aug)+18%

Family group bookings increase significantly

Rainy Season (May–Nov)-15%

Higher cancellation risk from afternoon storms

Hurricane Season (Aug–Oct)-22%

Weather uncertainty reduces advance bookings

Local Festivals (Apr, Jul)+12%

Antigua Sailing Week and Carnival boost local traffic

Experience Demand Forecast

Canopy Zipline Tour

+19.6%

Current

112

Next Month

134

Next Quarter

398

Aerial Tram Ride

+16.2%

Current

Next Month

Next Quarter

248

Rainforest Hike

-3.7%

Current

Next Month

Next Quarter

154

Private Group Adventure

+22.2%

Current

Next Month

Next Quarter

Sunset Canopy Walk

-25%

Current

Next Month

Next Quarter